What is the probability of various possible splits given that
you and dummy have "N" cards?
Math notation is generally
the same as
that used in Microsoft's Excel. The
MathNotation link
will also give examples of the notation as used here.
The tables below show the number of possible combinations
and the
probability of having the opponent's cards split in any possible way
given that you and dummy have a combined total of "N" in a suit. These
calculations are only valid for random hands. Both the bidding and play
of the hand reveal addition knowledge and will modify the results shown
here.
Each line has 2 COMBIN() functions. The first is for the
split in the suit of interest while the second fills out the remainder
of the hand using the 3 other suits in the remainder of the deck.
Note: For all combinations, there are COMBIN(26,13) =
10,400,600 possible hands for a specific opponent after 26 cards have
been removed from the deck for you and dummy.
You and dummy
have a combined total of 11 cards in the suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"2,0"
COMBIN(2,0) * COMBIN(24,13) =
2,496,144 .2400
"1,1"
COMBIN(2,1) * COMBIN(24,12) =
5,408,312 .5200
"0,2"
COMBIN(2,2) * COMBIN(24,11) =
2,496,144 .2400
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 10 cards in the suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"3,0"
COMBIN(3,0) * COMBIN(23,13) =
1,144,066 .1100
"2,1"
COMBIN(3,1) * COMBIN(23,12) =
4,056,234 .3900
"1,2"
COMBIN(3,2) * COMBIN(23,11) =
4,056,234 .3900
"0,3"
COMBIN(3,3) * COMBIN(23,10) =
1,144,066 .1100
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 9 cards in the suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"4,0"
COMBIN(4,0) * COMBIN(22,13) =
497,420 .0478
"3,1"
COMBIN(4,1) * COMBIN(22,12) =
2,586,584 .2487
"2,2"
COMBIN(4,2) * COMBIN(22,11) =
4,232,592 .4070
"1,3"
COMBIN(4,3) * COMBIN(22,10) =
2,586,584 .2487
"0,4"
COMBIN(4,4) * COMBIN(22, 9) =
497,420 .0478
Total
COMBIN(26,13
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 8 cards in a suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"5,0"
COMBIN(5,0) * COMBIN(21,13) =
203,490 .0196
"4,1"
COMBIN(5,1) * COMBIN(21,12) =
1,469,650 .1413
"3,2"
COMBIN(5,2) * COMBIN(21,11) =
3,527,160 .3391
"2,3"
COMBIN(5,3) * COMBIN(21,10) =
3,527,160 .3391
"1,4"
COMBIN(5,4) * COMBIN(21, 9) =
1,469,650 .1413
"0,5"
COMBIN(5,5) * COMBIN(21, 8) =
203,490 .0196
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 7 cards in a suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"6,0"
COMBIN(6,0) * COMBIN(20,13)
= 77,520
.0075
"5,1"
COMBIN(6,1) * COMBIN(20,12) =
755,820 .0727
"4,2"
COMBIN(6,2) * COMBIN(20,11) =
2,519,400 .2422
"3,3"
COMBIN(6,3) * COMBIN(20,10) =
3,695,120 .3553
"2,4"
COMBIN(6,4) * COMBIN(20, 9) =
2,519,400 .2422
"1,5"
COMBIN(6,5) * COMBIN(20, 8) =
755,820 .0727
"0,6"
COMBIN(6,6) * COMBIN(20, 7)
= 77,520
.0075
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 6 cards in a suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"7,0"
COMBIN(7,0) * COMBIN(19,13)
= 27,132
.0026
"6,1"
COMBIN(7,1) * COMBIN(19,12) =
352,716 .0339
"5,2"
COMBIN(7,2) * COMBIN(19,11) =
1,587,222 .1526
"4,3"
COMBIN(7,3) * COMBIN(19,10) =
3,233,230 .3109
"3,4"
COMBIN(7,4) * COMBIN(19, 9) =
3,233,230 .3109
"2,5"
COMBIN(7,5) * COMBIN(19, 8) =
1,587,222 .1526
"1,6"
COMBIN(7,6) * COMBIN(19, 7) =
352,716 .0339
"0,7"
COMBIN(7,7) * COMBIN(19, 6)
= 27,132
.0026
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 5 cards in a suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"8,0"
COMBIN(8,0) * COMBIN(18,13)
=
8,568 .0008
"7,1"
COMBIN(8,1) * COMBIN(18,12) =
148,512 .0143
"6,2"
COMBIN(8,2) * COMBIN(18,11) =
891,072 .0857
"5,3"
COMBIN(8,3) * COMBIN(18,10) =
2,450,448 .2356
"4,4"
COMBIN(8,4) * COMBIN(18, 9) =
3,403,400 .3272
"3,5"
COMBIN(8,5) * COMBIN(18, 8) =
2,450,448 .2356
"2,6"
COMBIN(8,6) * COMBIN(18, 7) =
891,072 .0857
"1,7"
COMBIN(8,7) * COMBIN(18, 6) =
148,512 .0143
"0,8"
COMBIN(8,8) * COMBIN(18, 5)
=
8,568 .0008
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
You and dummy have a combined
total of 4 cards in a suit.
Split
Number of
possible
hands
Probability
-------------------------------------------------------------
"9,0"
COMBIN(9,0) * COMBIN(17,13)
=
2,380 .0002
"8,1"
COMBIN(9,1) * COMBIN(17,12)
= 55,692
.0054
"7,2"
COMBIN(9,2) * COMBIN(17,11) =
445,536 .0428
"6,3"
COMBIN(9,3) * COMBIN(17,10) =
1,633,632 .1571
"5,4"
COMBIN(9,4) * COMBIN(17, 9) =
3,063,060 .2945
"4,5"
COMBIN(9,5) * COMBIN(17, 8) =
3,063,060 .2945
"3,6"
COMBIN(9,6) * COMBIN(17, 7) =
1,633,632 .1571
"2,7"
COMBIN(9,7) * COMBIN(17, 6) =
445,536 .0428
"1,8"
COMBIN(9,8) * COMBIN(17, 5)
= 55,692
.0054
"0,9"
COMBIN(9,9) * COMBIN(17, 4)
=
2,380 .0002
Total
COMBIN(26,13)
= 10,400,600 1.0000
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