Durango Bill's
Bingo Probabilities



Bingo Probability Statistics Analysis
Data for Picture Frame (All 4 edges) and the Letter "Y"

   The 2nd column in the table below shows the single-board probability that all four edges will be filled when the "Nth" number is called. The 3rd column shows the cumulative single-board probability that all four edges will be filled on or before the "Nth" number is called.

   The 4th and 5th columns in the table show similar data, but for a large "Y" (Upper left to center, upper right to center, center to middle cell on the bottom row)

If we look at the table below we see that when the 20th number is called in a Bingo game, we get the following probabilities.

1) A single board has a 4.53331E-13 probability of filling all 4 edges when the 20th number is called.
2) A single board has a 5.66664E-13 probability of filling all 4 edges on or before 20 numbers are called.
3) A single board has a 5.77474E-05 probability of completing a "Y" when the 20th number is called.
4) A single board has a 0.000192491 probability of completing a "Y" on or before the 20th number is called.

Computer program and data by Bill Butler

Quantity    All 4 Edges     Cumulative        Letter Y        Cumulative
of Bingo    Probability     Probability       Probability     Probability
Numbers     This Turn       All 4 Edges       This Turn       Letter Y
Picked      1 Board         1 Board           1 Board         1 Board
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
     1      0               0                 0               0            
     2      0               0                 0               0            
     3      0               0                 0               0            
     4      0               0                 0               0            
     5      0               0                 0               0            
     6      0               0                 4.96624E-09     4.96624E-09  
     7      0               0                 2.97974E-08     3.47637E-08  
     8      0               0                 1.04291E-07     1.39055E-07  
     9      0               0                 2.78109E-07     4.17164E-07  
    10      0               0                 6.25746E-07     1.04291E-06  
    11      0               0                 1.25149E-06     2.2944E-06   
    12      0               0                 2.2944E-06      4.58881E-06  
    13      0               0                 3.93326E-06     8.52207E-06  
    14      0               0                 6.39155E-06     1.49136E-05  
    15      0               0                 9.94241E-06     2.4856E-05   
    16      1.16958E-16     1.16958E-16       1.49136E-05     3.97697E-05  
    17      1.87133E-15     1.98829E-15       2.16925E-05     6.14622E-05  
    18      1.59063E-14     1.78946E-14       3.07311E-05     9.21933E-05  
    19      9.54381E-14     1.13333E-13       4.25508E-05     0.000134744  
    20      4.53331E-13     5.66664E-13       5.77474E-05     0.000192491  
    21      1.81332E-12     2.37999E-12       7.69966E-05     0.000269488  
    22      6.34663E-12     8.72662E-12       0.000101058     0.000370546  
    23      1.99466E-11     2.86732E-11       0.000130781     0.000501327  
    24      5.73463E-11     8.60195E-11       0.000167109     0.000668436  
    25      1.52924E-10     2.38943E-10       0.000211085     0.000879521  
    26      3.82309E-10     6.21252E-10       0.000263856     0.00114338   
    27      9.03639E-10     1.52489E-09       0.000326679     0.00147006   
    28      2.03319E-09     3.55808E-09       0.000400925     0.00187098   
    29      4.37918E-09     7.93726E-09       0.000488082     0.00235906   
    30      9.07115E-09     1.70084E-08       0.000589766     0.00294883   
    31      1.81423E-08     3.51507E-08       0.000707719     0.00365655   
    32      3.51507E-08     7.03014E-08       0.000843819     0.00450037   
    33      6.6166E-08      1.36467E-07       0.00100008      0.00550045   
    34      1.21304E-07     2.57772E-07       0.00117867      0.00667912   
    35      2.17071E-07     4.74843E-07       0.00138189      0.008061     
    36      3.79874E-07     8.54717E-07       0.0016122       0.0096732    
    37      6.51213E-07     1.50593E-06       0.00187223      0.0115454    
    38      1.09522E-06     2.60115E-06       0.00216477      0.0137102    
    39      1.8095E-06      4.41065E-06       0.00249276      0.016203     
    40      2.94043E-06     7.35108E-06       0.00285935      0.0190623    
    41      4.70469E-06     1.20558E-05       0.00326783      0.0223301    
    42      7.41894E-06     1.94747E-05       0.00372169      0.0260518    
    43      1.15406E-05     3.10153E-05       0.00422462      0.0302765    
    44      1.7723E-05      4.87383E-05       0.00478049      0.035057     
    45      2.68901E-05     7.56284E-05       0.00539338      0.0404503    
    46      4.03351E-05     0.000115964       0.00606755      0.0465179    
    47      5.98522E-05     0.000175816       0.00680749      0.0533254    
    48      8.79079E-05     0.000263724       0.00761791      0.0609433    
    49      0.000127866     0.00039159        0.00850371      0.069447     
    50      0.000184277     0.000575867       0.00947005      0.078917     
    51      0.000263253     0.00083912        0.0105223       0.0894393    
    52      0.000372942     0.00121206        0.011666        0.101105     
    53      0.000524135     0.0017362         0.0129071       0.114012     
    54      0.000731031     0.00246723        0.0142515       0.128264     
    55      0.0010122       0.00347943        0.0157058       0.14397      
    56      0.00139177      0.0048712         0.0172764       0.161246     
    57      0.00190095      0.00677215        0.0189701       0.180216     
    58      0.00257987      0.00935202        0.0207942       0.20101      
    59      0.00347982      0.0128318         0.0227559       0.223766     
    60      0.00466612      0.017498          0.0248629       0.248629     
    61      0.0062215       0.0237195         0.0271232       0.275752     
    62      0.00825025      0.0319697         0.0295449       0.305297     
    63      0.0108833       0.042853          0.0321366       0.337434     
    64      0.0142843       0.0571373         0.0349069       0.372341     
    65      0.0186571       0.0757944         0.0378652       0.410206     
    66      0.0242542       0.100049          0.0410206       0.451227     
    67      0.0313878       0.131436          0.0443829       0.495609     
    68      0.040442        0.171878          0.0479622       0.543572     
    69      0.0518878       0.223766          0.0517687       0.59534      
    70      0.0663011       0.290067          0.0558132       0.651154
    71      0.0843832       0.374451          0.0601065       0.71126      
    72      0.106986        0.481437          0.06466         0.77592      
    73      0.13514         0.616577          0.0694854       0.845405     
    74      0.17009         0.786667          0.0745946       0.92         
    75      0.213333        1                 0.08            1




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